Wednesday, February 13, 2019

EM-DAT Forget To Count Vietnam’s Red River Flood

By Paul Homewood

In August 1971, one of the world's worst weather disasters of the 20thC hit North Vietnam, the Red River Flood:

image

A severe flood of the Red River in North Vietnam kills an estimated 100,000 people on this day in 1971.

This remarkable flood was one of the century's most serious weather events, but because the Vietnam War was going on at the time, relatively few details about the disaster are available.

What is known is that the Red River, which runs near the capital city of Hanoi, experienced a "250-year" flood. Torrential rains simply overwhelmed the dyke system around the heavily populated delta area, which is not far above sea level. As well as directly killing thousands of people, the flood also wiped out valuable crops, causing further hardship, especially as it occurred during wartime.

Though many more reservoirs have since been built in the Hanoi region, the area remains vulnerable to flooding.

Within a period of 45 years (1900-1945), there were 18 years in which dykes failed, or one dyke failure with crop losses every two to three years on average. In the 1945 flood, the dyke system failed in 79 places, flooding 11. Provinces over a cultivated area of 312,000 ha and affecting about 4 million people. The 1971 flood caused the dykes to fail in 3 large sections, inundating 250,000 ha and seriously affecting 2.7 million people.

ttps://worldhistoryproject.org/1971/8/1/red-river-delta-flood-of-1971

It even made NOAA's list of the 20th century's top weather and climate events.

You would have thought then that it would have made EM-DAT's database of disasters since 1900.

But you would be wrong.

image

https://www.emdat.be/emdat_db/

 

Indeed there are no floods at all recorded in Vietnam prior to 1999, meaning that the big flood of 1945 is also not recorded by EM-DAT, nor all of the other ones mentioned prior to 1945.

It should come as little surprise then that, according to EM-DAT, the number of disasters has rocketed, as so many in the past have never made it onto the EM-DAT database, despite being well known about.

ScreenHunter_3707 Feb. 13 18.03

 https://www.emdat.be/emdat_db/

 

And if these big disasters have not been registered, what hope the thousands of minor ones that have occurred over the years.

 

Indeed, EM-DAT themselves accept that their data cannot be used for long term trends, and that their real objective is to to serve the purposes of humanitarian action now.

But that does not stop climate shysters from misusing the data for their own political purposes.

 

Meanwhile Harrabin's article on the fake IPPR report which yesterday claimed:

 

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https://web.archive.org/web/20190212014814/https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47203344

 

has been amended to :

 

image

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-47203344

 

And, as if Harrabin was actively collaborating with IPPR, they too have changed the wording on their paper in exactly the same way.

Perhaps someone has been reading Notalot!!

Not that this change makes any difference, as the claim is still utterly fake, because we know that so many disasters were not recorded in those early days.



from Climate Change Skeptic Blogs via hj on Inoreader http://bit.ly/2I9GY9W

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